Strategic Counsel: Biased Towards the Tories

The Tories do not have this election in the bag at all. All most every poll out there besides Strategic Counsel (which doesn't count undecided voters and probably goads a whole bunch of people into one group) is completely making this up as it goes along, Consider the fact that no poll has the Liberals at 24%, i mean today's SES said the Liberals were at 32% and the Decima poll had them at 28%, however, if you actually notice that there are a few biases in some polls. But lets take a look at SES' final poll from the 2004 election was and what the real result ended up being was

Liberals 34% (2% off)
Conservatives 30% (1% off)
NDP 20% (5% off)
BQ 12% (Accurate)
Green 4% (Accurate)

So in reality it could be argued that SES predicted it correctly except for the NDP swing which didn't occur until the last minute.

Also it should be noted that SES was the only pollster that caught the liberal upswing in Election 2004, something that everyone else was apparently baffled by the tory swing in the polls.