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Saturday, April 14, 2007

Poll Breakdown: I love Doing These!

Recent Ipsos Reid Poll Results as gotten from the new polls

Seat By Seat Breakdowns Courtesy of Werner Antweiler's UBC Election Forecaster

Atlantic

LIB:21 (+1)
CPC:8 (-1)
NDP:3

Not much change here except Tobique-Mactaquac going back to the Liberals.

Quebec

Here is what Quebec Would look like next parliament according to Ipsos

BQ:32 (-19)
CPC:23 (+13)
LIB:19 (+6)
IND:1

Again Huge change here as the Liberal regain their traditional Federalist Seats and the Conservatives win in Rural Quebec.

Ontario

Ontario is kind of surprising but I'm going to assume this is correct as most of the seats are NDP to Liberal ones

LIB:59 (+5)
CPC:41 (+1)
NDP:6 (-6)

Saskatchewan and Manitoba

Here we go again

CPC:16 (-4)
LIB:8 (+3)
NDP:4 (+1)

Alberta

No Change

CPC:28

British Columbia

CPC:18 (+1)
LIB:13 (+4)
NDP:5 (-5)

And lets keep the territories at

2 LIB
1 NDP

FINAL TOTAL

CPC: 134 (+10)
LIB: 122 (+19)
BQ: 32 (-19)
NDP: 19 (-10)
IND: 1

So once again, Stephen Harper and the Liberals Gain from the polls and the BLOC and the NDP lose seats for yet a second poll in a row, this means only one thing. Harper if he's looking at a majority government is not going to get it in an election he'll only succed at increasing his seat total but that's it. One thing is for certain now Bloc and NDP are definitely losing seats but could the liberals just gain off the NDP and BQ losses despite not having the best leader? I think so.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

I hate to say it, but this guy is out to lunch. There is simply no why the Liberals will take 13 seats in BC. The further you get outside Vancouver and Victoria, the more Liberal support goes down. Indeed not only do the Liberals have no chance of taking a seat in the interior they do not have a chance of taking one in one of Vancouver's more distant suburbs. Election prediction project is a much better guide.

Anonymous said...

Ipsos hahahahahahahahaha! Im getting dizzy from the spinning!