Saturday, December 02, 2006
Dryden to Rae
I just heard from Stronach and Manley that they believe that Dryden will go Rae and that they heard from their sources that is going on.
First Ballot Results and Thoughts
Michael Ignatieff 1,412 29.3%
Bob Rae 977 20.3%
Stephane Dion 856 17.8%
Gerard Kennedy 854 17.7%
Ken Dryden 238 4.9%
Scott Brison 192 4.0%
Joe Volpe 156 3.2%
Martha Hall Findlay 130 2.7%
Well now, we finally have the results in and there are a few shockers Ignatieff has been held under 30 percent, he right now does not have the momentum according to our estimates we made on Wikipedia Ignatieff was expected to have close to 1,607 delegates voting in favor, he ended up with close almost 195 short of that tally. Bob Rae was estimated to have 1,029 delegates according to wikipedia and that number was within one hundred and the estimates were off by 52, But what seems to be really surprising is Gerard Kennedy who was expected to have 931 delegates but was off by 77, Stephane Dion was expected to have 883 delegates and the projections were off by 21. This means that There was a few things we can take from this, Kennedy and Ignatieff lost support among ex-officios. We will have to see what happens with Martha Findlay and what impact the Volpe movement will have to Rae. The next ballot is going to really tell us where things stand. We must keep in mind that Ignatieff and Rae both have lost the momentum, Rae is going to be hurt by non-stop negative attention to the fact he barely spoke any french tonight and Ignatieff is going to be hurt by the fact he underperformed on the first ballot. Clearly the candidate who has momentum is Stephane Dion, although he and Kennedy are separated by just 2 votes, Dion has won the most coveted place on the ballot at the moment and is in position to win, The meetings that have occured between Dion and Kennedy likely have been intense and I am almost certain one is going to back the other depending on what happens. We will see what Scott Brison, Ken Dryden and Hall Findlay will do. Dryden has been a wild card, but to me I just don't know if I see him going to rae or ignatieff. But we're going to find out soon exactly where those delegates will be Going.
But truth be told let me some it up
Dion=Big Mo
Igantieff, Rae=Huge Dissapointment, Will be confronted with negative stories on them tommorow all through the voting.
Kennedy=Slight dissapointment
Brison and Dryden-Weighing their options.
Bob Rae 977 20.3%
Stephane Dion 856 17.8%
Gerard Kennedy 854 17.7%
Ken Dryden 238 4.9%
Scott Brison 192 4.0%
Joe Volpe 156 3.2%
Martha Hall Findlay 130 2.7%
Well now, we finally have the results in and there are a few shockers Ignatieff has been held under 30 percent, he right now does not have the momentum according to our estimates we made on Wikipedia Ignatieff was expected to have close to 1,607 delegates voting in favor, he ended up with close almost 195 short of that tally. Bob Rae was estimated to have 1,029 delegates according to wikipedia and that number was within one hundred and the estimates were off by 52, But what seems to be really surprising is Gerard Kennedy who was expected to have 931 delegates but was off by 77, Stephane Dion was expected to have 883 delegates and the projections were off by 21. This means that There was a few things we can take from this, Kennedy and Ignatieff lost support among ex-officios. We will have to see what happens with Martha Findlay and what impact the Volpe movement will have to Rae. The next ballot is going to really tell us where things stand. We must keep in mind that Ignatieff and Rae both have lost the momentum, Rae is going to be hurt by non-stop negative attention to the fact he barely spoke any french tonight and Ignatieff is going to be hurt by the fact he underperformed on the first ballot. Clearly the candidate who has momentum is Stephane Dion, although he and Kennedy are separated by just 2 votes, Dion has won the most coveted place on the ballot at the moment and is in position to win, The meetings that have occured between Dion and Kennedy likely have been intense and I am almost certain one is going to back the other depending on what happens. We will see what Scott Brison, Ken Dryden and Hall Findlay will do. Dryden has been a wild card, but to me I just don't know if I see him going to rae or ignatieff. But we're going to find out soon exactly where those delegates will be Going.
But truth be told let me some it up
Dion=Big Mo
Igantieff, Rae=Huge Dissapointment, Will be confronted with negative stories on them tommorow all through the voting.
Kennedy=Slight dissapointment
Brison and Dryden-Weighing their options.
Thursday, November 30, 2006
Goodale and Robilliard: The next comedy duo
Im seriously thinking these two should just go join a comedy touring club. Really good delivery.
Wednesday, November 29, 2006
I made a difficult decision
While every liberal is celebrating the election of a new leader in Montreal, I had to make a very difficult decision a few weeks ago. I would like to take this time to explain why I will not be at this weekend's convention.
I am a student, and while my mother would have paid for me to go to Montreal and to this convention, I had to turn it down. While I enjoy politics and follow politics I can not put Politics before my education, being now that college has came down to crunch time. It breaks my heart to say I had to forgo the convention.
I am extremely jealous of all of you but I would hope that you would understand that my heart is with each and every one of you as you choose the next leader of this party. Please choose wisely and think carefully after the 1st ballot, your vote is going to determine the future of this county. So be wise.
Liberally yours,
Jack
I am a student, and while my mother would have paid for me to go to Montreal and to this convention, I had to turn it down. While I enjoy politics and follow politics I can not put Politics before my education, being now that college has came down to crunch time. It breaks my heart to say I had to forgo the convention.
I am extremely jealous of all of you but I would hope that you would understand that my heart is with each and every one of you as you choose the next leader of this party. Please choose wisely and think carefully after the 1st ballot, your vote is going to determine the future of this county. So be wise.
Liberally yours,
Jack
Monday, November 27, 2006
Motion Passes 266-16 :So Just Who Voted Against The Quebec Motion?
Navdeep Bains
Don Bell
Raymond Chan
Joe Comuzzi
Ken Dryden
Hedy Fry
Jim Karygiannis
Diane Marleau
Bill Matthews
Maria Minna
Dan McTeague
Scott Simms
Paul Steckle
Andrew Telegdi
Garth Turner
Joe Volpe
Absentees:
Carol Skelton
Michael Chong
Don Bell
Raymond Chan
Joe Comuzzi
Ken Dryden
Hedy Fry
Jim Karygiannis
Diane Marleau
Bill Matthews
Maria Minna
Dan McTeague
Scott Simms
Paul Steckle
Andrew Telegdi
Garth Turner
Joe Volpe
Absentees:
Carol Skelton
Michael Chong
Quebec Motion: Oppose it.
I'm calling on all liberals to stop being boxed into a corner and suck it up and vote against this motion, we know in our hearts that this motion is completely wrong for Canada. This motion is a huge can of worms Mr. Harper has opened up. Just read the motion it says the Nation of Quebecois within a United Canada. What this essentially says is that Francophones in Quebec consitute a nation. That's right Francophones only, not the Anglophones, this is a very bad move and it is wrong, I think that the motion will lead to a huge slippery slope.
What this will do is lead to what exactly Gordon Campbell just talked about a few days ago with Native Canadians demanding a nation. I would think in truth that Quebec is not a nation rather I believe that Northern Canada is more of a nation then Quebec. Let's see not only are the people there indigenous to this land, they are in my opinion more of a country then Quebec is. This is a very difficult and tough issue. I hope the liberals will do the smart thing and vote aginst this motion because it is one of the stickiest situations with words going all over the place. This is a jumbled language lesson and despite the fact it might cost us electoral points we should be smart and oppose it completely. This motion is extremely divisive and it is way too important to just throw it away with one vote.
What this will do is lead to what exactly Gordon Campbell just talked about a few days ago with Native Canadians demanding a nation. I would think in truth that Quebec is not a nation rather I believe that Northern Canada is more of a nation then Quebec. Let's see not only are the people there indigenous to this land, they are in my opinion more of a country then Quebec is. This is a very difficult and tough issue. I hope the liberals will do the smart thing and vote aginst this motion because it is one of the stickiest situations with words going all over the place. This is a jumbled language lesson and despite the fact it might cost us electoral points we should be smart and oppose it completely. This motion is extremely divisive and it is way too important to just throw it away with one vote.
Sunday, November 26, 2006
Tuesday, November 07, 2006
First Results In
Very Early Results in Kentucky and Indiana but nothing else happening at the moment
American Election Blogging
And It is on folks the first results from Indiana and Kentucky are about to come in and hopefully will hear tonight about what happens tonight. I'm hoping that we can see tonight a huge wave of change.
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