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Monday, November 03, 2008

U.S. Election 2008 Predictions

Correct Ones are bolded


Alabama-McCain
Alaska-McCain
Arkansas-McCain
Arizona-McCain
California-Obama
Colorado-Obama
Connecticut-Obama
Delaware-Obama
Florida-Obama
Georgia-McCain
Hawaii-Obama
Idaho-McCain
Illinois-Obama
Indiana-Obama
Iowa-Obama
Kansas-McCain
Kentucky-McCain
Louisiana-McCain
Maine-Obama
Maryland-Obama
Massachusetts-Obama
Michigan-Obama
Minnesota-Obama
Mississippi-McCain

Missouri-Obama
Montana-McCain
Nebraska-McCain
Nevada-Obama
New Hampshire-Obama
New Jersey-Obama
New Mexico-Obama
New York-Obama
North Carolina-Obama

North Dakota-Obama
Ohio-Obama
Oklahoma-McCain
Oregon-Obama
Pennsylvania-Obama
Rhode Island-Obama
South Carolina-McCain
South Dakota-McCain
Tennessee-McCain
Texas-McCain
Utah-McCain
Vermont-Obama
Virginia-Obama
Washington-Obama
Washington D.C.-Obama
West Virginia-McCain
Wisconsin-Obama
Wyoming-McCain

Correct 49/51

Senate Races

Alabama-Jeff Sessions (R)
Alaska-Mark Begich (D)
Arkansas-Mark Pryor (D)
Colorado-Mark Udall (D)
Delaware-Joe Biden (D)
Georgia-Jim Martin (D) in a run-off
Idaho-Jim Risch (R)
Illinois-Dick Durbin (D)
Iowa-Tom Harkin (D)
Kansas-Pat Roberts (R)
Kentucky-Bruce Lunsford (D)
Louisiana-Mary Landrieu (D)
Maine-Susan Collins (R)
Massachusetts-John Kerry (D)
Michigan-Carl Levin (D)
Minnesota-Al Franken (D)
Mississippi 1-Thad Cochran (R)
Mississippi 2-Roger Wicker (R)
Montana-Max Baucus (D)
Nebraska-Mike Johanns (R)
New Hampshire-Jeanne Shaheen (D)
New Jersey-Frank Lautenberg (D)
New Mexico-Tom Udall (D)
North Carolina-Kay Hagan (D)
Oklahoma-Jim Inhofe (R)
Oregon-Jeff Merkley (D)
Rhode Island-Jack Reed (D)
South Carolina-Lindsey Graham (R)
South Dakota-Tim Johnson (D)
Tennessee-Lamar Alexander (R)
Texas-John Cornyn (R)
Virginia-Mark Warner (D)
West Virginia-Jay Rockefeller (D)
Wyoming 1-Mike Enzi (R)
Wyoming 2-John Barrasso (R)

31/32 with 3 remaining to be called

New Senate Composition

59 Democrats
39 Republicans
2 Independents


House Races

Alabama

(4-3 Republican)

1. Jo Bonner (R)
2. Bobby Bright (D)
3. Mike D. Rogers (R)
4. Robert Aderholt (R)
5. Parker Griffith (D)
6. Spencer Bachus (R)
7. Artur Davis (D)

Alaska

(1 Democrat)

At-large. Ethan Berkowitz (D)


Arizona


(5-3 Democratic)

1. Ann Kirkpatrick (D)
2. Trent Franks (R)
3. John Shadegg (R)
4. Ed Pastor (D)
5. Harry Mitchell (D)
6. Jeff Flake (R)
7. Raúl M. Grijalva (D)
8. Gabrielle Giffords (D)

Arkansas

(3-1 Democratic)

1. Marion Berry (D)
2. Vic Snyder (D)
3. John Boozman (R)
4. Mike Ross (D)

California


(36-18 Democratic)

1. Mike Thompson (D)
2. Wally Herger (R)
3. Dan Lungren (R)
4. Charlie Brown (D)
5. Doris Matsui (D)
6. Lynn Woolsey (D)
7. George Miller (D)
8. Nancy Pelosi (D)
9. Barbara Lee (D)
10. Ellen Tauscher (D)
11. Jerry McNerney (D)
12. Jackie Speier (D)
13. Pete Stark (D)
14. Anna Eshoo (D)
15. Mike Honda (D)
16. Zoe Lofgren (D)
17. Sam Farr (D)
18. Dennis Cardoza (D)
19. George Radanovich (R)
20. Jim Costa (D)
21. Devin Nunes (R)
22. Kevin McCarthy (R)
23. Lois Capps (D)
24. Elton Gallegly (R)
25. Howard McKeon (R)
26. David Dreier (R)
27. Brad Sherman (D)
28. Howard Berman (D)
29. Adam Schiff (D)
30. Henry Waxman (D)
31. Xavier Becerra (D)
32. Hilda Solis (D)
33. Diane Watson (D)
34. Lucille Roybal-Allard (D)
35. Maxine Waters (D)
36. Jane Harman (D)
37. Laura Richardson (D)
38. Grace Napolitano (D)
39. Linda Sánchez (D)
40. Edward R. Royce (R)
41. Jerry Lewis (R)
42. Gary Miller (R)
43. Joe Baca (D)
44. Ken Calvert (R)
45. Mary Bono Mack (R)
46. Dana Rohrabacher (R)
47. Loretta Sanchez (D)
48. John Campbell (R)
49. Darrell Issa (R)
50. Nick Leibham (D)
51. Bob Filner (D)
52. Duncan Hunter Jr. (R)
53. Susan Davis (D)

Colorado

(5-2 Democratic)

1. Diana DeGette (D)
2. Jared Polis (D)
3. John Salazar (D)
4. Betsy Markey (D)
5. Doug Lamborn (R)
6. Mike Coffman (R)
7. Ed Perlmutter (D)

Connecticut

(5 Democrats)

1. John Larson (D)
2. Joe Courtney (D)
3. Rosa DeLauro (D)
4. Jim Himes (D)
5. Chris Murphy (D)

Delaware

(1 Republican)

At-large. Michael N. Castle (R)

Florida

(13-12 Republican)

1. Jeff Miller (R)
2. Allen Boyd (D)
3. Corrine Brown (D)
4. Ander Crenshaw (R)
5. Ginny Brown-Waite (R)
6. Cliff Stearns (R)
7. John Mica (R)
8. Alan Grayson (D)
9. Gus Bilirakis (R)
10. Bill Young (R)
11. Kathy Castor (D)
12. Adam Putnam (R)
13. Vern Buchanan (R)
14. Connie Mack IV (R)
15. Bill Posey (R)
16. Tom Rooney (R)
17. Kendrick Meek (D)
18. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R)
19. Robert Wexler (D)
20. Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D)
21. Raul Martinez (D)
22. Ron Klein (D)
23. Alcee Hastings (D)
24. Suzanne Kosmas (D)
25. Joe Garcia (D)

Georgia

(7-6 Republican)

1. Jack Kingston (R)
2. Sanford Bishop (D)
3. Lynn Westmoreland (R)
4. Hank Johnson (D)
5. John Lewis (D)
6. Tom Price (R)
7. John Linder (R)
8. Jim Marshall (D)
9. Nathan Deal (R)
10. Paul Broun (R)
11. Phil Gingrey (R)
12. John Barrow (D)
13. David Scott (D)

Hawaii

(2 Democrats)

1. Neil Abercrombie (D)
2. Mazie Hirono (D)

Idaho

(1-1 Split)

1. Walt Minnick (D)
2. Michael K. Simpson (R)

Illinois

(13-6 Democratic)

1. Bobby Rush (D)
2. Jesse Jackson, Jr. (D)
3. Dan Lipinski (D)
4. Luis Gutierrez (D)
5. Rahm Emanuel (D)
6. Peter Roskam (R)
7. Danny K. Davis (D)
8. Melissa Bean (D)
9. Janice D. Schakowsky (D)
10. Dan Seals (D)
11. Debbie Halvorson (D)

12. Jerry Costello (D)
13. Judy Biggert (R)
14. Bill Foster (D)
15. Timothy V. Johnson (R)
16. Donald Manzullo (R)
17. Philip Hare (D)
18. Aaron Schock (R)
19. John Shimkus (R)

Indiana

(5-4 Democratic)

1. Pete Visclosky (D)
2. Joe Donnelly (D)
3. Mark Souder (R)
4. Steve Buyer (R)
5. Dan Burton (R)
6. Mike Pence (R)
7. André Carson (D)
8. Brad Ellsworth (D)
9. Baron Hill (D)

Iowa

(3-2 Democratic)

1. Bruce Braley (D)
2. David Loebsack (D)
3. Leonard Boswell (D)
4. Tom Latham (R)
5. Steve King (R)

Kansas

(2-2 split)

1. Jerry Moran (R)
2. Nancy Boyda (D)
3. Dennis Moore (D)
4. Todd Tiahrt (R)

Kentucky

(3-3 Split)

1. Ed Whitfield (R)
2. David Boswell (D)
3. John Yarmuth (D)
4. Geoff Davis (R)
5. Harold Rogers (R)
6. Ben Chandler (D)

Louisiana

(4-3 Democratic)

1. Steve Scalise (R)
2. Helena Moreno (D) (Run-off)
3. Charlie Melancon (D)
4. Paul Carmouche (D) (Run-off)
5. Rodney Alexander (R)
6. Don Cazayoux (D)
7. Charles Boustany (R)

Maine


(2 Democrats)

1. Chellie Pingree (D)
2. Mike Michaud (D)

Maryland

(7-1 Democratic)

1. Frank Kratovil (D)

2. Dutch Ruppersberger (D)
3. John Sarbanes (D)
4. Donna Edwards (D)
5. Steny Hoyer (D)
6. Roscoe Bartlett (R)
7. Elijah Cummings (D)
8. Chris Van Hollen (D)

Massachusetts

(10 Democrats)

1. John Olver (D)
2. Richard Neal (D)
3. Jim McGovern (D)
4. Barney Frank (D)
5. Niki Tsongas (D)
6. John Tierney (D)
7. Ed Markey (D)
8. Mike Capuano (D)
9. Stephen Lynch (D)
10. Bill Delahunt (D)

Michigan

(8-7 Democratic)

1. Bart Stupak (D)
2. Peter Hoekstra (R)
3. Vern Ehlers (R)
4. David Lee Camp (R)
5. Dale E. Kildee (D)
6. Fred Upton (R)
7. Mark Schauer (D)
8. Mike J. Rogers (R)
9. Gary Peters (D)
10. Candice Miller (R)
11. Thaddeus McCotter (R)
12. Sander Levin (D)
13. Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick (D)
14. John Conyers (D)
15. John Dingell (D)

Minnesota

(7-1 Democratic)

1. Tim Walz (D)
2. John Kline (R)
3. Ashwin Madia (D)
4. Betty McCollum (D)
5. Keith Ellison (D)
6. Elwyn Tinklenberg (D)
7. Collin Peterson (D)
8. Jim Oberstar (D)


Mississippi

(3-1 Democratic)

1. Travis Childers (D)
2. Bennie Thompson (D)
3. Gregg Harper (R)
4. Gene Taylor (D)


Missouri

(5-4 Democratic)

1. William Lacy Clay, Jr. (D)
2. Todd Akin (R)
3. Russ Carnahan (D)
4. Ike Skelton (D)
5. Emanuel Cleaver (D)
6. Sam Graves (R)
7. Roy Blunt (R)
8. Jo Ann Emerson (R)
9. Judy Baker (D)

Montana

(1 Republican)

At-large. Denny Rehberg (R)

Nebraska

(2-1 Republican)

1. Jeff Fortenberry (R)
2. Jim Esch (D)
3. Adrian Smith (R)

Nevada

(2-1 Democratic)

1. Shelley Berkley (D)
2. Dean Heller (R)
3. Dina Titus (D)

New Hampshire

(2 Democrats)

1. Carol Shea-Porter (D)
2. Paul Hodes (D)

New Jersey

(9-4 Democratic)

1. Rob Andrews (D)
2. Frank LoBiondo (R)
3. John Adler (D)
4. Chris Smith (R)
5. Scott Garrett (R)
6. Frank Pallone (D)
7. Linda Stender (D)
8. Bill Pascrell Jr. (D)
9. Steve Rothman (D)
10. Donald M. Payne (D)
11. Rodney Frelinghuysen (R)
12. Rush D. Holt Jr. (D)
13. Albio Sires (D)

New Mexico

(3 Democrats)

1. Martin Heinrich (D)
2. Harry Teague (D)

3. Ben Ray Lujan (D)

New York

(26-3 Democratic)

1. Tim Bishop (D)
2. Steve Israel (D)
3. Peter T. King (R)
4. Carolyn McCarthy (D)
5. Gary Ackerman (D)
6. Gregory W. Meeks (D)
7. Joseph Crowley (D)
8. Jerrold Nadler (D)
9. Anthony D. Weiner (D)
10. Ed Towns (D)
11. Yvette D. Clarke (D)
12. Nydia Velázquez (D)
13. Mike McMahon (D)
14. Carolyn B. Maloney (D)
15. Charles B. Rangel (D)
16. José Serrano (D)
17. Eliot L. Engel (D)
18. Nita Lowey (D)
19. John Hall (D)
20. Kirsten Gillibrand (D)
21. Paul Tonko (D)
22. Maurice Hinchey (D)
23. John M. McHugh (R)
24. Michael Arcuri (D)
25. Dan Maffei (D)
26. Chris Lee (R)
27. Brian Higgins (D)
28. Louise McIntosh Slaughter (D)
29. Eric Massa (D)

North Carolina

(8-5 Democratic)

1. G. K. Butterfield (D)
2. Bob Etheridge (D)
3. Walter B. Jones (R)
4. David Price (D)
5. Virginia Foxx (R)
6. Howard Coble (R)
7. Mike McIntyre (D)
8. Larry Kissell (D)
9. Sue Wilkins Myrick (R)
10. Patrick McHenry (R)
11. Heath Shuler (D)
12. Mel Watt (D)
13. Brad Miller (D)

North Dakota

(1 Democrat)

At-large. Earl Pomeroy (D)

Ohio

(11-7 Democratic)

1. Steve Driehaus (D)
2. Vic Wulsin (D)
3. Michael R. Turner (R)
4. Jim Jordan (R)
5. Bob Latta (R)
6. Charlie Wilson (D)
7. Steve Austria (R)
8. John A. Boehner (R)
9. Marcy Kaptur (D)
10. Dennis J. Kucinich (D)
11. Marcia Fudge (D)
12. Pat Tiberi (R)
13. Betty Sutton (D)
14. Steve LaTourette (R)
15. Mary Jo Kilroy (D)
16. John Boccieri (D)

17. Tim Ryan (D)
18. Zack Space (D)

Oklahoma

(4-1 Republican)

1. John Sullivan (R)
2. Dan Boren (D)
3. Frank Lucas (R)
4. Tom Cole (R)
5. Mary Fallin (R)

Oregon

(4-1 Democratic)

1. David Wu (D)
2. Greg Walden (R)
3. Earl Blumenauer (D)
4. Peter DeFazio (D)
5. Kurt Schrader (D)

Pennsylvania

(12-7 Democratic)

1. Bob Brady (D)
2. Chaka Fattah (D)
3. Kathy Dahlkemper (D)
4. Jason Altmire (D)
5. Glenn Thompson (R)
6. Jim Gerlach (R)
7. Joe Sestak (D)
8. Patrick Murphy (D)
9. Bill Shuster (R)
10. Chris Carney (D)
11. Paul E. Kanjorski (D)
12. John Murtha (D)
13. Allyson Schwartz (D)
14. Michael F. Doyle (D)
15. Charlie Dent (R)
16. Joseph R. Pitts (R)
17. Tim Holden (D)
18. Tim Murphy (R)
19. Todd Platts (R)

Rhode Island

(2 Democrats)

1. Patrick J. Kennedy (D)
2. James Langevin (D)

South Carolina

(4-2 Republican)

1. Henry E. Brown, Jr. (R)
2. Joe Wilson (R)
3. Gresham Barrett (R)
4. Bob Inglis (R)
5. John Spratt (D)
6. Jim Clyburn (D)

South Dakota

(1 Democrat)

At-large. Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (D)

Tennessee

(5-4 Democratic)

1. Phil Roe (R)
2. John Duncan (R)
3. Zach Wamp (R)
4. Lincoln Davis (D)
5. Jim Cooper (D)
6. Bart Gordon (D)
7. Marsha Blackburn (R)
8. John S. Tanner (D)
9. Steve Cohen (D)

Texas

(18-14 Republican)

1. Louie Gohmert (R)
2. Ted Poe (R)
3. Sam Johnson (R)
4. Ralph Hall (R)
5. Jeb Hensarling (R)
6. Joe Barton (R)
7. John Culberson (R)
8. Kevin Brady (R)
9. Al Green (D)
10. Larry Joe Doherty (D)
11. Mike Conaway (R)
12. Kay Granger (R)
13. Mac Thornberry (R)
14. Ron Paul (R)
15. Rubén Hinojosa (D)
16. Silvestre Reyes (D)
17. Chet Edwards (D)
18. Sheila Jackson-Lee (D)
19. Randy Neugebauer (R)
20. Charlie Gonzalez (D)
21. Lamar S. Smith (R)
22. Nick Lampson (D)
23. Ciro Rodriguez (D)
24. Kenny Marchant (R)
25. Lloyd Doggett (D)
26. Michael C. Burgess (R)
27. Solomon P. Ortiz (D)
28. Henry Cuellar (D)
29. Gene Green (D)
30. Eddie Bernice Johnson (D)
31. John Carter (R)
32. Pete Sessions (R)

Utah

(2-1 Republican)

1. Rob Bishop (R)
2. Jim Matheson (D)
3. Jason Chaffetz (R)

Vermont


(1 Democrat)

At-large. Peter Welch (D)

Virginia

(7-4 Republican)

1. Rob Wittman (R)
2. Thelma Drake (R)
3. Robert C. Scott (D)
4. Randy Forbes (R)
5. Virgil Goode (R)
6. Bob Goodlatte (R)
7. Eric Cantor (R)
8. Jim Moran (D)
9. Rick Boucher (D)
10. Frank Wolf (R)
11. Gerry Connolly (D)

Washington

(7-2 Democratic)

1. Jay Inslee (D)
2. Rick Larsen (D)
3. Brian Baird (D)
4. Doc Hastings (R)
5. Cathy McMorris-Rodgers (R)
6. Norm Dicks (D)
7. Jim McDermott (D)
8. Darcy Burner (D)
9. Adam Smith (D)

West Virginia

(2-1 Democratic)

1. Alan Mollohan (D)
2. Shelley Moore Capito (R)
3. Nick Rahall (D)

Wisconsin

(5-3 Democratic)

1. Paul Ryan (R)
2. Tammy Baldwin (D)
3. Ron Kind (D)
4. Gwen Moore (D)
5. Jim Sensenbrenner (R)
6. Tom Petri (R)
7. Dave Obey (D)
8. Steve Kagen (D)

Wyoming

(1 Republican)

At-large. Cynthia Lummis (R)

New House

Democratic-274
Republicans-161

Monday, September 15, 2008

Seat by Seat Prediction 2008

In the Ontario Election I successfully called 98 out of 107 ridings correctly so here we go again. Dispute it all you want, I do personally believe the atlantic will be for the most part except for New Brunswick a wholesale Conservative meltdown. You also have to keep in mind that I've tried to be Fair, I believe the Conservatives will win, I just think there will be a few incumbent Conservatives who will get booted.

Newfoundland & Labrador

Avalon : Scott Andrews-LIB
Bonavista—Gander—Grand Falls—Windsor: Scott Simms-LIB
Humber—St. Barbe—Baie Verte: Gerry Byrne-LIB
Labrador: Todd Russell-LIB
Random—Burin—St. George's: Judy Foote-LIB
St. John's East: Jack Harris-NDP
St. John's South—Mount Pearl: Siobhan Coady-LIB

Totals
6-LIB
1-NDP

7/7 Correct

Prince Edward Island

Cardigan : Lawrence MacAulay-LIB
Charlottetown: Shawn Murphy-LIB

Egmont: Keith Milligan-LIB
Malpeque: Wayne Easter-LIB


Totals
4-LIB

3/4 Correct


Prince Edward Island

Cape Breton—Canso : Rodger Cuzner-LIB
Central Nova: Peter MacKay-CPC
Cumberland—Colchester—Musquodoboit Valley: Bill Casey-IND
Dartmouth—Cole Harbour: Michael Savage-LIB
Halifax: Megan Leslie-NDP
Halifax West: Geoff Regan-LIB
Kings—Hants: Scott Brison-LIB
Sackville—Eastern Shore: Peter Stoffer-NDP

South Shore—St. Margaret's: Gordon Earle-NDP
Sydney—Victoria: Mark Eyking-LIB
West Nova: Robert Thibault-LIB

Totals
5-LIB
3-NDP
1-CPC
1-IND

9/11 Correct

New Brunswick

Acadie-Bathurst : Yvon Godin-NDP
Beauséjour: Dominic LeBlanc-LIB

Frederiction: David Innes-LIB
Fundy Royal: Rob Moore-CPC
Madawaska—Restigouche: Jean-Claude D'Amours-LIB

Miramichi: Charles Hubbard-LIB
Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe: Brian Murphy-LIB
New Brunswick Southwest: Greg Thompson-CPC

Saint John: Paul Zed-LIB
Tobique—Mactaquac: Mike Allen-CPC

Totals
6-Liberal
3-CPC
1-NDP

7/10

Atlantic Totals

22 Liberals
5 New Democrats
4 Conservatives
1 Independent

Quebec


Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou: Yvon Lévesque-BQ
Abitibi—Témiscamingue: Marc Lemay-BQ

Ahuntsic: Eleni Bakopanos-LIB
Alfred-Pellan: Robert Carrier-BQ
Argenteuil—Papineau—Mirabel: Mario Laframboise-BQ
Bas-Richelieu—Nicolet—Bécancour: Louis Plamondon-BQ
Beauce: Maxime Bernier-CPC
Beauharnois—Salaberry: Claude DeBellefeuille-BQ

Beauport—Limoilou: Éléonore Mainguy-BQ
Berthier—Maskinongé: Guy André-BQ
Bourassa: Denis Coderre-LIB

Brome—Missisquoi: Denis Paradis-LIB
Brossard—La Prairie: Marcel Lussier-BQ
Chambly—Borduas: Yves Lessard-BQ
Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles: Denis Courtout-BQ
Châteauguay—Saint-Constant: Carole Freeman-BQ
Chicoutimi—Le Fjord: Robert Bouchard-BQ
Compton-Stanstead: France Bonsant-BQ
Drummond: Roger Pomerleau-BQ
Gaspésie—Îles-de-la-Madeleine: Raynald Blais-BQ
Gatineau: Richard Nadeau-BQ
Haute-Gaspésie—La Mitis—Matane—Matapédia: Jean-Yves Roy, BQ
Hochelaga: Réal Ménard-BQ
Honoré-Mercier: Pablo Rodriguez-LIB
Hull—Aylmer: Marcel Proulx-LIB
Jeanne-Le Ber: Thierry St-Cyr-BQ
Joliette: Pierre Paquette-BQ
Jonquière—Alma: Chantale Bouchard-BQ
La Pointe-de-l'Île: Francine Lalonde-BQ
Lac-Saint-Louis: Francis Scarpaleggia-LIB
LaSalle—Émard: Lise Zarac-LIB
Laurentides—Labelle: Johanne Deschamps-BQ
Laurier—Sainte-Marie: Gilles Duceppe-BQ
Laval: Nicole Demers-BQ
Laval—Les Îles: Raymonde Folco-LIB
Lévis—Bellechasse: Steven Blaney-CPC
Longueuil—Pierre-Boucher: Jean Dorion-BQ
Lotbinière—Chutes-de-la-Chaudière: Jacques Gourde-CPC
Louis-Hébert: Pascal-Pierre Paillé-BQ
Louis-Saint-Laurent: Josée Verner-CPC
Manicouagan: Gérard Asselin-BQ
Marc-Aurèle-Fortin: Serge Ménard-BQ
Mégantic—L'Érable: Christian Paradis-CPC
Montcalm: Roger Gaudet-BQ
Montmagny—L'Islet—Kamouraska—Rivière-du-Loup: Paul Crete-BQ
Montmorency—Charlevoix—Haute-Côte-Nord: Michel Guimond-BQ
Mount Royal: Irwin Cotler-LIB
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Lachine: Marlene Jennings-LIB
Outremont: Thomas Mulcair-NDP
Papineau: Justin Trudeau-LIB
Pierrefonds—Dollard: Bernard Patry-LIB
Pontiac: Lawrence Cannon-CPC
Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier: Andre Arthur-IND
Québec: Christian Gagnon-BQ
Repentigny: Nicolas Dufour-BQ
Richmond—Arthabaska: Andre Bellevance-BQ

Rimouski-Neigette—Témiscouata—Les Basques: Louise Thibault-IND
Rivière-des-Mille-Îles: Luc Desnoyers-BQ
Rivière-du-Nord: Monique Guay-BQ
Roberval—Lac-Saint-Jean: Denis Lebel-CPC
Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie: Bernard Bigras-BQ
Saint-Bruno—Saint-Hubert: Carole Lavallée-BQ
Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot: Ève-Mary Thaï Thi Lac-BQ
Saint-Jean: Claude Bachand-BQ
Saint-Lambert: Josée Beaudin-BQ
Saint-Laurent—Cartierville: Stéphane Dion-LIB
Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel: Massimo Pacetti-LIB
Saint-Maurice—Champlain: Jean-Yves Laforest-BQ
Shefford: Robert Vincent-BQ
Sherbrooke: Serge Cardin-BQ
Terrebonne—Blainville: Diane Bourgeois-BQ
Trois-Rivières: Paulle Brunelle-BQ
Vaudreuil—Soulanges: Meilli Faille-BQ
Verchères—Les Patriotes: Luc Malo-BQ
Westmount—Ville-Marie: Marc Garneau-LIB



Quebec Total

52 Bloquistes
14 Liberals
6 Conservatives
2 Independents
1 New Democrat

65/75


Ontario

Ajax-Pickering: Mark Holland-LIB
Algoma-Manitoulin-Kapuskasing: Carol Hughes-NDP
Ancaster-Dundas-Flamborough-Westdale: David Sweet-CPC
Barrie: Patrick Brown-CPC
Beaches-East York: Maria Minna-LIB
Bramalea-Gore-Malton: Gurbax Mahli-LIB
Brampton West: Andrew Kania-LIB
Brampton-Springdale: Ruby Dhalla-LIB

Brant: Lloyd St. Amand-LIB
Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound: Larry Miller-CPC
Burlington: Mike Wallace-CPC
Cambridge: Gary Goodyear-CPC
Carleton-Mississippi Mills: Gordon O'Connor-CPC
Chatham-Kent-Essex: Dave Van Kesteren-CPC
Davenport: Mario Silva-LIB
Don Valley East: Yasmin Ratansi-LIB
Don Valley West: Rob Oliphant-LIB
Dufferin-Caledon: David Tilson-CPC
Durham: Bev Oda-CPC
Eglinton-Lawrence: Joe Volpe-LIB
Elgin-Middlesex-London: Joe Preston-CPC
Essex: Jeff Watson-CPC
Etobicoke Centre: Borys Wrzesnewskyj-LIB
Etobicoke North: Kirsty Duncan-LIB
Etobicoke-Lakeshore: Michael Ignatieff-LIB

Glengarry-Prescott-Russell: Dan Boudria-LIB
Guelph: Frank Valeriote-LIB
Haldimand-Norfolk: Eric Hoskins-LIB
Haliburton-Kawartha Lakes-Brock: Barry Devolin-CPC
Halton: Garth Turner-LIB
Hamilton Centre: David Christopherson-NDP
Hamilton East-Stoney Creek: Larry DiIanni-LIB
Hamilton Mountain: Chris Charlton-NDP
Huron-Bruce: Ben Lobb-CPC

Kenora: Roger Valley-LIB
Kingston and the Islands: Peter Milliken-LIB
Kitchener Centre: Karen Redman-LIB
Kitchener-Conestoga: Harold Albrecht-CPC
Kitchener-Waterloo: Andrew Telegdi-LIB
Lambton-Kent-Middlesex: Bev Shipley-CPC
Lanark-Frontenac-Lennox & Addington: Scott Reid-CPC
Leeds-Grenville: Gord Brown-CPC
London North Centre: Glen Pearson-LIB

London West: Sue Barnes-LIB
London-Fanshawe: Irene Mathyssen-NDP
Markham-Unionville: John McCallum-LIB
Mississauga East-Cooksville: Albina Guarnieri-LIB
Mississauga South: Paul Szabo-LIB
Mississauga-Brampton South: Navdeep Bains-LIB

Mississauga-Erindale: Omar Alghabra-LIB
Mississauga-Streetsville: Bonnie Crombie-LIB
Nepean-Carleton: Pierre Poilievre-CPC

Newmarket-Aurora: Tim Jones-LIB
Niagara Falls: Rob Nicholson-CPC
Niagara West-Glanbrook: Dean Allison-CPC
Nickel Belt: Claude Gravelle-NDP
Nipissing-Timiskaming: Anthony Rota-LIB
Northumberland-Quinte West: Rick Norlock-CPC

Oak Ridges-Markham: Lui Temelkovski-LIB
Oakville: Bonnie Brown-LIB
Oshawa: Colin Carrie-CPC
Ottawa Centre: Paul Dewar-NDP
Ottawa South: David McGuinty-LIB
Ottawa West-Nepean: John Baird-CPC

Ottawa Orleans: Marc Godbout-LIB
Ottawa-Vanier: Mauril Belanger-LIB
Oxford: Dave McKenzie-CPC

Parkdale-High Park: Peggy Nash-NDP
Parry Sound-Muskoka: Tony Clement-CPC
Perth-Wellington: Gary Schellenberger-CPC
Peterborough: Dean DelMastro-CPC
Pickering-Scarborough East: Dan McTeague-LIB
Prince Edward-Hastings: Daryl Kramp-CPC
Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke: Cheryl Gallant-CPC
Richmond Hill: Bryon Wilfert-LIB
Sarnia-Lambton: Pat Davidson-CPC
Sault Ste. Marie: Tony Martin-NDP
Scarborough Centre: John Cannis-LIB
Scarborough Southwest: Michelle Simson-LIB
Scarborough-Agincourt: Jim Karygiannis-LIB
Scarborough-Guildwood: John McKay-LIB
Scarborough-Rouge River: Derek Lee-LIB
Simcoe North: Bruce Stanton-CPC
Simcoe-Grey: Helena Guergis-CPC
St. Catharines: Rick Dykstra-CPC
St. Paul's: Carolyn Bennett-LIB
Stormont-Dundas-South Glengarry: Guy Lauzon-CPC

Sudbury: Diane Marleau-LIB
Thornhill: Susan Kadis-LIB
Thunder Bay-Rainy River: John Rafferty-NDP
Thunder Bay-Superior North: Bruce Hyer-NDP
Timmins-James Bay: Charlie Angus-NDP
Toronto Centre: Bob Rae-LIB
Toronto-Danforth: Jack Layton-NDP

Trinity-Spadina: Christine Innes-LIB
Vaughan: Maurizio Bevilacqua-LIB
Welland: John Maloney-LIB
Wellington-Halton Hills: Michael Chong-CPC
Whitby-Oshawa: Jim Flaherty-CPC
Willowdale: Martha Hall Findlay-LIB
Windsor West: Brian Masse-NDP
Windsor-Tecumseh: Joe Comartin-NDP
York Centre: Ken Dryden-LIB
York South-Weston: Alan Tonks-LIB
York West: Judy Sgro-LIB
York-Simcoe: Peter Van Loan-CPC

Totals

56 Liberals
35 Conservatives
17 New Democrats

90/108

Manitoba

Brandon-Souris: Merv Tweed-CPC
Charleswood-St. James-Assiniboia: Steven Fletcher-CPC

Churchill: Tina Keeper-LIB
Dauphin-Swan River-Marquette: Inky Mark-CPC
Elmwood-Transcona: Jim Maloway-NDP
Kildonan-St. Paul: Joy Smith-CPC
Portage-Lisgar: Candice Hoeppner-CPC
Provencher: Vic Toews-CPC

Saint Boniface: Raymond Simard-LIB
Selkirk-Interlake: James Bezan-CPC
Winnipeg Centre: Pat Martin-NDP
Winnipeg North: Judy Wasylycia-Leis-NDP

Winnipeg South: John Loewen-LIB
Winnipeg South Centre: Anita Neville-LIB

7 Conservatives
4 Liberals
3 NDP

11/14

Saskatchewan

Battlefords-Lloydminster: Gerry Ritz-CPC
Blackstrap: Lynne Yelich-CPC
Cypress Hills-Grasslands: David Anderson-CPC
Desnethé-Missinippi-Churchill River: Rob Clarke-CPC

Palliser: Don Mitchell-NDP
Prince Albert: Randy Hoback-CPC
Regina-Lumsden-Lake Centre: Tom Lukiwski-CPC
Regina-Qu'Appelle: Andrew Scheer-CPC
Saskatoon-Humboldt: Brad Trost-CPC

Saskatoon-Rosetown-Biggar: Nettie Wiebe-NDP
Saskatoon-Wanuskewin: Maurice Vellacott-CPC
Souris-Moose Mountain: Ed Komarnicki-CPC
Wascana: Ralph Goodale-LIB
Yorkton-Melville: Gerry Breitkreuz-CPC


11 Conservatives
2 New Democrats
1 Liberal

12/14

Alberta

Calgary Centre: Lee Richardson-CPC
Calgary Centre-North: Jim Prentice-CPC
Calgary East: Deepak Obhrai-CPC
Calgary Northeast: Devinder Shory-CPC
Calgary Southeast: Jason Kenney-CPC
Calgary Southwest: Stephen Harper-CPC
Calgary West: Rob Anders-CPC
Calgary-Nose Hill: Diane Ablonczy-CPC
Crowfoot: Kevin Sorenson-CPC
Edmonton Centre: Laurie Hawn-CPC
Edmonton East: Peter Goldring-CPC
Edmonton-Leduc: James Rajotte-CPC
Edmonton-Mill Woods-Beaumont: Mike Lake-CPC
Edmonton-Sherwood Park: Tim Uppal-CPC
Edmonton-Spruce Grove: Rona Ambrose-CPC
Edmonton-St. Albert: Brent Rathgeber-CPC

Edmonton-Strathcona: Rahim Jaffer-CPC
Fort McMurray-Athabasca: Brian Jean-CPC
Lethbridge: Rick Casson-CPC
Macleod: Ted Menzies-CPC
Medicine Hat: LaVar Payne-CPC
Peace River: Chris Warkentin-CPC
Red Deer: Earl Dreeshan-CPC
Vegreville-Wainwright: Leon Benoit-CPC
Westlock-St. Paul: Brian Storseth-CPC
Wetaskiwin: Blaine Calkins-CPC
Wild Rose: Blake Richards-CPC
Yellowhead: Rob Merrifield-CPC


28 Conservatives

27/28

British Columbia

Abbotsford: Ed Fast-CPC
British Columbia Southern Interior: Alex Atamanenko-NDP

Burnaby-Douglas: Bill Siksay-NDP
Burnaby-New Westminster: Peter Julian-NDP
Cariboo-Prince George: Dick Harris-CPC
Chilliwack-Fraser Canyon: Chuck Strahl-CPC
Delta-Richmond East: John Cummins-CPC
Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca: Keith Martin-LIB

Fleetwood-Port Kells: Brenda Locke-LIB
Kamloops-Thompson-Cariboo: Michael Crawford-NDP
Kelowna-Lake Country: Ron Cannan-CPC
Kootenay-Columbia: Jim Abbott-CPC
Langley: Mark Warawa-CPC
Nanaimo-Alberni: James Lunney-CPC
Nanaimo-Cowichan: Jean Crowder-NDP
New Westminster-Coquitlam: Dawn Black-NDP

Newton-North Delta: Sukh Dhaliwal-LIB
North Vancouver: Andrew Saxton-CPC
Okanagan-Coquihalla: Stockwell Day-CPC
Okanagan-Shuswap: Colin Mayes-CPC
Pitt Meadows-Maple Ridge-Mission: Randy Kamp-CPC
Port Moody-Westwood-Port Coquitlam: James Moore-CPC
Prince George-Peace River: Jay Hill-CPC

Richmond: Raymond Chan-LIB
Saanich-Gulf Islands: Briony Penn-LIB
Skeena-Bulkley Valley: Nathan Cullen-NDP
South Surrey-White Rock-Cloverdale: Russ Hiebert-CPC

Surrey North: Rachid Arab-NDP
Vancouver Centre: Hedy Fry-LIB
Vancouver East: Libby Davies-NDP
Vancouver Island North: Catherine Bell-NDP
Vancouver Kingsway: Wendy Yuan-LIB
Vancouver Quadra: Joyce Murray-LIB
Vancouver South: Ujjal Dosanjh-LIB
Victoria: Denise Savoie-NDP
West Vancouver-Sunshine Coast-Sea to Sky Country: John Weston-CPC


16 Conservatives
11 New Democrats
9 Liberals

30/36

Territories
Yukon: Larry Bagnell-LIB
Western Arctic: Dennis Bevington-NDP

Nunavut: Kirt Ejesiak-LIB

2 Liberals
1 New Democrat

2/3


Final Total

108 Conservatives
105 Liberals
52 Bloquistes
40 New Democrats
3 Independents

How My Predictions Stacked up

263/308

85%

Friday, September 12, 2008

What Happened to the Tories Well Oiled Machine?

Throughout the last couple of years we were hearing so much about how the Tories were supposedly running one of the strongest and most organized campaigns. Complete with a new state of the art war-room. Yet if anything is to be learned this week. It is that the Tories having a well-oiled machine is a myth. Let's just Recap what happened this week.

*The first and major gaffe of the week is Puffingate, which revolved around the funny little bird dropping a deuce on a photo of Stephanie Dion on a Tory Attack Site. Harper was forced to apologize because of this idiocy and as well his own campaign team had to scramble to replace it.

*The Tories appointed a candidate in the riding of Halifax and then two days later she was forced to resign because it was found she had a criminal record

*Tory Loose Cannon Cheryl Gallant ridiculously claims that the liberals will tax or ban firewood.

*Their Candidate in Madawaska-Restigouche, New Brunswick is getting sued over a failed business venture.

*After initally opposing Elizabeth May in the debates, Harper bowed to Public Pressure and Reversed himself.

*Conservative MP's Rona Ambrose and Royal Galipeau Fraudulently used an Ottawa Kids store to supposedly announce new Child Care Policy Details.\

*And most recently the Conservatives had to can their communications director after he implied that Criticism from a father of a soldier killed in Afghanistan was politically motivated.

If this is what we can expect of the Tories' Election Machine for the next couple of weeks. Well let's just say that Majority Government may not be in reach for them.

Friday, April 04, 2008

In Defense of Tom Lukiwski

I know I'm probably going to take heat for deviating from the Liberal Line here.

First of all, No matter who you are, Tom Lukiwski's comments were offensive, disgusting and repugnant. That being said he should at the very least resign from his parliamentary secretary job. That being said I want to delve into the tape and talk about why Mr. Lukiwski said the things he said.

Number One, I know Mr. Lukiwski's record on Gay Rights are not good. He's voted against Gay Marriage three times.

Number Two, I'm not somebody who is going to call people a homophobe for voting against Gay Marriage unless they said some really despicable things during a debate in the House of Commons.

Number Three, You have to realize the time, this is 1991 we are talking about. At that time Homosexuality was still not as accepted as it is today, secondly, you have to watch the Video's Context, this guy was likely drunk off his ass (see the beer bottle in his hand), I'm not saying that gets him off scot-free, but I truly do think the alcohol in his system was a contributing factor.

Personally, I think this is just Mr. Lukiwski being an idiot, If you watch the entire video you can easily tell these are people just having a little too much fun and having had way too much to drink. Now I've never been drunk, but I can definitely tell you that people do not act the way they normally do when they are (Trust me, I've been around people that are drunk, and while they may say things that aren't normal, I don't believe they aren't the people who they truly are for a second). The video in my opinion is pretty much a drunken frat party.

And I know Gay Rights groups want to make a big deal out of this and I understand why, but look, if the Prime Minister will Repudiate the comments then I will consider the matter case closed.

Even though I'm a liberal, I think Mr. Lukiwski, the person himself has been raked through the coals enough, he should still have the decency to resign his Secretary post.

Wednesday, March 26, 2008

Hey Jim, Go Suck an Egg

Since we've just come off Easter, I think it's only right I tell Jim Flaherty what I think about his recent comments about our Ontario Budget.

Jim, Go Suck an Egg. We don't need you telling our province how to run our budget. See, when you guys were elected, you and your party said: you were going to let the provinces have more control over their jurisdiction.

Well, let's just chalk that up to another broken promise. Jim seriously, Are you the Finance Minister of Canada or are you the Finance Minister of Ontario? Because, if you really don't want your current Job and you are really looking for John Tory's Job. Step right up and take it, because I would love nothing more then to have you out the current job you own. Because, all you've done since you've gotten into office, is start laying the groundwork to ruin our country financially.

Jim, I want to say this as nicely as I can, but I'm really angry at how you've insulted my province. So in the nicest possible way I can say it.

F*** you Jim.

Monday, March 03, 2008

When Will Alberta Give Up on the Conservative Dictatorship?

I'm hoping that tonight we will have change but considering this is "Alberta" I'm not going to be surprised when we have an eleventh straight conservative government in Alberta, admittedly I'm not from Alberta. I know that Alberta has always been a conservative stronghold, I'm not stupid. But let's be honest folks, even Alberta needs a change.

I knew damn well the Liberals were not going to hold the federal governments reigns forever. Let's be serious though, The Tories in Alberta are a bunch of tired old politicians who have run out of ideas and can pretty much just sit on their thumbs and do nothing, because they think Albertans are Idiots, I know they aren't idiots, but to be serious, don't you guys get tired of having the same damn party win every election? It's not even a damn fight.

Seriously Alberta, do something wild. Stop being so boring and predictable.