Seat by Seat Prediction 2008

In the Ontario Election I successfully called 98 out of 107 ridings correctly so here we go again. Dispute it all you want, I do personally believe the atlantic will be for the most part except for New Brunswick a wholesale Conservative meltdown. You also have to keep in mind that I've tried to be Fair, I believe the Conservatives will win, I just think there will be a few incumbent Conservatives who will get booted.

Newfoundland & Labrador

Avalon : Scott Andrews-LIB
Bonavista—Gander—Grand Falls—Windsor: Scott Simms-LIB
Humber—St. Barbe—Baie Verte: Gerry Byrne-LIB
Labrador: Todd Russell-LIB
Random—Burin—St. George's: Judy Foote-LIB
St. John's East: Jack Harris-NDP
St. John's South—Mount Pearl: Siobhan Coady-LIB

Totals
6-LIB
1-NDP

7/7 Correct

Prince Edward Island

Cardigan : Lawrence MacAulay-LIB
Charlottetown: Shawn Murphy-LIB
Egmont: Keith Milligan-LIB
Malpeque: Wayne Easter-LIB


Totals
4-LIB

3/4 Correct


Prince Edward Island

Cape Breton—Canso : Rodger Cuzner-LIB
Central Nova: Peter MacKay-CPC
Cumberland—Colchester—Musquodoboit Valley: Bill Casey-IND
Dartmouth—Cole Harbour: Michael Savage-LIB
Halifax: Megan Leslie-NDP
Halifax West: Geoff Regan-LIB
Kings—Hants: Scott Brison-LIB
Sackville—Eastern Shore: Peter Stoffer-NDP
South Shore—St. Margaret's: Gordon Earle-NDP
Sydney—Victoria: Mark Eyking-LIB
West Nova: Robert Thibault-LIB

Totals
5-LIB
3-NDP
1-CPC
1-IND

9/11 Correct

New Brunswick

Acadie-Bathurst : Yvon Godin-NDP
Beauséjour: Dominic LeBlanc-LIB
Frederiction: David Innes-LIB
Fundy Royal: Rob Moore-CPC
Madawaska—Restigouche: Jean-Claude D'Amours-LIB
Miramichi: Charles Hubbard-LIB
Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe: Brian Murphy-LIB
New Brunswick Southwest: Greg Thompson-CPC
Saint John: Paul Zed-LIB
Tobique—Mactaquac: Mike Allen-CPC

Totals
6-Liberal
3-CPC
1-NDP

7/10

Atlantic Totals

22 Liberals
5 New Democrats
4 Conservatives
1 Independent

Quebec


Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou: Yvon Lévesque-BQ
Abitibi—Témiscamingue: Marc Lemay-BQ
Ahuntsic: Eleni Bakopanos-LIB
Alfred-Pellan: Robert Carrier-BQ
Argenteuil—Papineau—Mirabel: Mario Laframboise-BQ
Bas-Richelieu—Nicolet—Bécancour: Louis Plamondon-BQ
Beauce: Maxime Bernier-CPC
Beauharnois—Salaberry: Claude DeBellefeuille-BQ
Beauport—Limoilou: Éléonore Mainguy-BQ
Berthier—Maskinongé: Guy André-BQ
Bourassa: Denis Coderre-LIB
Brome—Missisquoi: Denis Paradis-LIB
Brossard—La Prairie: Marcel Lussier-BQ
Chambly—Borduas: Yves Lessard-BQ
Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles: Denis Courtout-BQ
Châteauguay—Saint-Constant: Carole Freeman-BQ
Chicoutimi—Le Fjord: Robert Bouchard-BQ
Compton-Stanstead: France Bonsant-BQ
Drummond: Roger Pomerleau-BQ
Gaspésie—Îles-de-la-Madeleine: Raynald Blais-BQ
Gatineau: Richard Nadeau-BQ
Haute-Gaspésie—La Mitis—Matane—Matapédia: Jean-Yves Roy, BQ
Hochelaga: Réal Ménard-BQ
Honoré-Mercier: Pablo Rodriguez-LIB
Hull—Aylmer: Marcel Proulx-LIB
Jeanne-Le Ber: Thierry St-Cyr-BQ
Joliette: Pierre Paquette-BQ
Jonquière—Alma: Chantale Bouchard-BQ
La Pointe-de-l'Île: Francine Lalonde-BQ
Lac-Saint-Louis: Francis Scarpaleggia-LIB
LaSalle—Émard: Lise Zarac-LIB
Laurentides—Labelle: Johanne Deschamps-BQ
Laurier—Sainte-Marie: Gilles Duceppe-BQ
Laval: Nicole Demers-BQ
Laval—Les Îles: Raymonde Folco-LIB
Lévis—Bellechasse: Steven Blaney-CPC
Longueuil—Pierre-Boucher: Jean Dorion-BQ
Lotbinière—Chutes-de-la-Chaudière: Jacques Gourde-CPC
Louis-Hébert: Pascal-Pierre Paillé-BQ
Louis-Saint-Laurent: Josée Verner-CPC
Manicouagan: Gérard Asselin-BQ
Marc-Aurèle-Fortin: Serge Ménard-BQ
Mégantic—L'Érable: Christian Paradis-CPC
Montcalm: Roger Gaudet-BQ
Montmagny—L'Islet—Kamouraska—Rivière-du-Loup: Paul Crete-BQ
Montmorency—Charlevoix—Haute-Côte-Nord: Michel Guimond-BQ
Mount Royal: Irwin Cotler-LIB
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Lachine: Marlene Jennings-LIB
Outremont: Thomas Mulcair-NDP
Papineau: Justin Trudeau-LIB
Pierrefonds—Dollard: Bernard Patry-LIB
Pontiac: Lawrence Cannon-CPC
Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier: Andre Arthur-IND
Québec: Christian Gagnon-BQ
Repentigny: Nicolas Dufour-BQ
Richmond—Arthabaska: Andre Bellevance-BQ
Rimouski-Neigette—Témiscouata—Les Basques: Louise Thibault-IND
Rivière-des-Mille-Îles: Luc Desnoyers-BQ
Rivière-du-Nord: Monique Guay-BQ
Roberval—Lac-Saint-Jean: Denis Lebel-CPC
Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie: Bernard Bigras-BQ
Saint-Bruno—Saint-Hubert: Carole Lavallée-BQ
Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot: Ève-Mary Thaï Thi Lac-BQ
Saint-Jean: Claude Bachand-BQ
Saint-Lambert: Josée Beaudin-BQ
Saint-Laurent—Cartierville: Stéphane Dion-LIB
Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel: Massimo Pacetti-LIB
Saint-Maurice—Champlain: Jean-Yves Laforest-BQ
Shefford: Robert Vincent-BQ
Sherbrooke: Serge Cardin-BQ
Terrebonne—Blainville: Diane Bourgeois-BQ
Trois-Rivières: Paulle Brunelle-BQ
Vaudreuil—Soulanges: Meilli Faille-BQ
Verchères—Les Patriotes: Luc Malo-BQ
Westmount—Ville-Marie: Marc Garneau-LIB


Quebec Total

52 Bloquistes
14 Liberals
6 Conservatives
2 Independents
1 New Democrat

65/75


Ontario

Ajax-Pickering: Mark Holland-LIB
Algoma-Manitoulin-Kapuskasing: Carol Hughes-NDP
Ancaster-Dundas-Flamborough-Westdale: David Sweet-CPC
Barrie: Patrick Brown-CPC
Beaches-East York: Maria Minna-LIB
Bramalea-Gore-Malton: Gurbax Mahli-LIB
Brampton West: Andrew Kania-LIB
Brampton-Springdale: Ruby Dhalla-LIB
Brant: Lloyd St. Amand-LIB
Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound: Larry Miller-CPC
Burlington: Mike Wallace-CPC
Cambridge: Gary Goodyear-CPC
Carleton-Mississippi Mills: Gordon O'Connor-CPC
Chatham-Kent-Essex: Dave Van Kesteren-CPC
Davenport: Mario Silva-LIB
Don Valley East: Yasmin Ratansi-LIB
Don Valley West: Rob Oliphant-LIB
Dufferin-Caledon: David Tilson-CPC
Durham: Bev Oda-CPC
Eglinton-Lawrence: Joe Volpe-LIB
Elgin-Middlesex-London: Joe Preston-CPC
Essex: Jeff Watson-CPC
Etobicoke Centre: Borys Wrzesnewskyj-LIB
Etobicoke North: Kirsty Duncan-LIB
Etobicoke-Lakeshore: Michael Ignatieff-LIB
Glengarry-Prescott-Russell: Dan Boudria-LIB
Guelph: Frank Valeriote-LIB
Haldimand-Norfolk: Eric Hoskins-LIB
Haliburton-Kawartha Lakes-Brock: Barry Devolin-CPC
Halton: Garth Turner-LIB
Hamilton Centre: David Christopherson-NDP
Hamilton East-Stoney Creek: Larry DiIanni-LIB
Hamilton Mountain: Chris Charlton-NDP
Huron-Bruce: Ben Lobb-CPC
Kenora: Roger Valley-LIB
Kingston and the Islands: Peter Milliken-LIB
Kitchener Centre: Karen Redman-LIB
Kitchener-Conestoga: Harold Albrecht-CPC
Kitchener-Waterloo: Andrew Telegdi-LIB
Lambton-Kent-Middlesex: Bev Shipley-CPC
Lanark-Frontenac-Lennox & Addington: Scott Reid-CPC
Leeds-Grenville: Gord Brown-CPC
London North Centre: Glen Pearson-LIB
London West: Sue Barnes-LIB
London-Fanshawe: Irene Mathyssen-NDP
Markham-Unionville: John McCallum-LIB
Mississauga East-Cooksville: Albina Guarnieri-LIB
Mississauga South: Paul Szabo-LIB
Mississauga-Brampton South: Navdeep Bains-LIB
Mississauga-Erindale: Omar Alghabra-LIB
Mississauga-Streetsville: Bonnie Crombie-LIB
Nepean-Carleton: Pierre Poilievre-CPC
Newmarket-Aurora: Tim Jones-LIB
Niagara Falls: Rob Nicholson-CPC
Niagara West-Glanbrook: Dean Allison-CPC
Nickel Belt: Claude Gravelle-NDP
Nipissing-Timiskaming: Anthony Rota-LIB
Northumberland-Quinte West: Rick Norlock-CPC
Oak Ridges-Markham: Lui Temelkovski-LIB
Oakville: Bonnie Brown-LIB
Oshawa: Colin Carrie-CPC
Ottawa Centre: Paul Dewar-NDP
Ottawa South: David McGuinty-LIB
Ottawa West-Nepean: John Baird-CPC
Ottawa Orleans: Marc Godbout-LIB
Ottawa-Vanier: Mauril Belanger-LIB
Oxford: Dave McKenzie-CPC
Parkdale-High Park: Peggy Nash-NDP
Parry Sound-Muskoka: Tony Clement-CPC
Perth-Wellington: Gary Schellenberger-CPC
Peterborough: Dean DelMastro-CPC
Pickering-Scarborough East: Dan McTeague-LIB
Prince Edward-Hastings: Daryl Kramp-CPC
Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke: Cheryl Gallant-CPC
Richmond Hill: Bryon Wilfert-LIB
Sarnia-Lambton: Pat Davidson-CPC
Sault Ste. Marie: Tony Martin-NDP
Scarborough Centre: John Cannis-LIB
Scarborough Southwest: Michelle Simson-LIB
Scarborough-Agincourt: Jim Karygiannis-LIB
Scarborough-Guildwood: John McKay-LIB
Scarborough-Rouge River: Derek Lee-LIB
Simcoe North: Bruce Stanton-CPC
Simcoe-Grey: Helena Guergis-CPC
St. Catharines: Rick Dykstra-CPC
St. Paul's: Carolyn Bennett-LIB
Stormont-Dundas-South Glengarry: Guy Lauzon-CPC
Sudbury: Diane Marleau-LIB
Thornhill: Susan Kadis-LIB
Thunder Bay-Rainy River: John Rafferty-NDP
Thunder Bay-Superior North: Bruce Hyer-NDP
Timmins-James Bay: Charlie Angus-NDP
Toronto Centre: Bob Rae-LIB
Toronto-Danforth: Jack Layton-NDP
Trinity-Spadina: Christine Innes-LIB
Vaughan: Maurizio Bevilacqua-LIB
Welland: John Maloney-LIB
Wellington-Halton Hills: Michael Chong-CPC
Whitby-Oshawa: Jim Flaherty-CPC
Willowdale: Martha Hall Findlay-LIB
Windsor West: Brian Masse-NDP
Windsor-Tecumseh: Joe Comartin-NDP
York Centre: Ken Dryden-LIB
York South-Weston: Alan Tonks-LIB
York West: Judy Sgro-LIB
York-Simcoe: Peter Van Loan-CPC

Totals

56 Liberals
35 Conservatives
17 New Democrats

90/108

Manitoba

Brandon-Souris: Merv Tweed-CPC
Charleswood-St. James-Assiniboia: Steven Fletcher-CPC
Churchill: Tina Keeper-LIB
Dauphin-Swan River-Marquette: Inky Mark-CPC
Elmwood-Transcona: Jim Maloway-NDP
Kildonan-St. Paul: Joy Smith-CPC
Portage-Lisgar: Candice Hoeppner-CPC
Provencher: Vic Toews-CPC
Saint Boniface: Raymond Simard-LIB
Selkirk-Interlake: James Bezan-CPC
Winnipeg Centre: Pat Martin-NDP
Winnipeg North: Judy Wasylycia-Leis-NDP
Winnipeg South: John Loewen-LIB
Winnipeg South Centre: Anita Neville-LIB

7 Conservatives
4 Liberals
3 NDP

11/14

Saskatchewan

Battlefords-Lloydminster: Gerry Ritz-CPC
Blackstrap: Lynne Yelich-CPC
Cypress Hills-Grasslands: David Anderson-CPC
Desnethé-Missinippi-Churchill River: Rob Clarke-CPC
Palliser: Don Mitchell-NDP
Prince Albert: Randy Hoback-CPC
Regina-Lumsden-Lake Centre: Tom Lukiwski-CPC
Regina-Qu'Appelle: Andrew Scheer-CPC
Saskatoon-Humboldt: Brad Trost-CPC
Saskatoon-Rosetown-Biggar: Nettie Wiebe-NDP
Saskatoon-Wanuskewin: Maurice Vellacott-CPC
Souris-Moose Mountain: Ed Komarnicki-CPC
Wascana: Ralph Goodale-LIB
Yorkton-Melville: Gerry Breitkreuz-CPC

11 Conservatives
2 New Democrats
1 Liberal

12/14

Alberta

Calgary Centre: Lee Richardson-CPC
Calgary Centre-North: Jim Prentice-CPC
Calgary East: Deepak Obhrai-CPC
Calgary Northeast: Devinder Shory-CPC
Calgary Southeast: Jason Kenney-CPC
Calgary Southwest: Stephen Harper-CPC
Calgary West: Rob Anders-CPC
Calgary-Nose Hill: Diane Ablonczy-CPC
Crowfoot: Kevin Sorenson-CPC
Edmonton Centre: Laurie Hawn-CPC
Edmonton East: Peter Goldring-CPC
Edmonton-Leduc: James Rajotte-CPC
Edmonton-Mill Woods-Beaumont: Mike Lake-CPC
Edmonton-Sherwood Park: Tim Uppal-CPC
Edmonton-Spruce Grove: Rona Ambrose-CPC
Edmonton-St. Albert: Brent Rathgeber-CPC
Edmonton-Strathcona: Rahim Jaffer-CPC
Fort McMurray-Athabasca: Brian Jean-CPC
Lethbridge: Rick Casson-CPC
Macleod: Ted Menzies-CPC
Medicine Hat: LaVar Payne-CPC
Peace River: Chris Warkentin-CPC
Red Deer: Earl Dreeshan-CPC
Vegreville-Wainwright: Leon Benoit-CPC
Westlock-St. Paul: Brian Storseth-CPC
Wetaskiwin: Blaine Calkins-CPC
Wild Rose: Blake Richards-CPC
Yellowhead: Rob Merrifield-CPC

28 Conservatives

27/28

British Columbia

Abbotsford: Ed Fast-CPC
British Columbia Southern Interior: Alex Atamanenko-NDP
Burnaby-Douglas: Bill Siksay-NDP
Burnaby-New Westminster: Peter Julian-NDP
Cariboo-Prince George: Dick Harris-CPC
Chilliwack-Fraser Canyon: Chuck Strahl-CPC
Delta-Richmond East: John Cummins-CPC
Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca: Keith Martin-LIB
Fleetwood-Port Kells: Brenda Locke-LIB
Kamloops-Thompson-Cariboo: Michael Crawford-NDP
Kelowna-Lake Country: Ron Cannan-CPC
Kootenay-Columbia: Jim Abbott-CPC
Langley: Mark Warawa-CPC
Nanaimo-Alberni: James Lunney-CPC
Nanaimo-Cowichan: Jean Crowder-NDP
New Westminster-Coquitlam: Dawn Black-NDP
Newton-North Delta: Sukh Dhaliwal-LIB
North Vancouver: Andrew Saxton-CPC
Okanagan-Coquihalla: Stockwell Day-CPC
Okanagan-Shuswap: Colin Mayes-CPC
Pitt Meadows-Maple Ridge-Mission: Randy Kamp-CPC
Port Moody-Westwood-Port Coquitlam: James Moore-CPC
Prince George-Peace River: Jay Hill-CPC
Richmond: Raymond Chan-LIB
Saanich-Gulf Islands: Briony Penn-LIB
Skeena-Bulkley Valley: Nathan Cullen-NDP
South Surrey-White Rock-Cloverdale: Russ Hiebert-CPC
Surrey North: Rachid Arab-NDP
Vancouver Centre: Hedy Fry-LIB
Vancouver East: Libby Davies-NDP
Vancouver Island North: Catherine Bell-NDP
Vancouver Kingsway: Wendy Yuan-LIB
Vancouver Quadra: Joyce Murray-LIB
Vancouver South: Ujjal Dosanjh-LIB
Victoria: Denise Savoie-NDP
West Vancouver-Sunshine Coast-Sea to Sky Country: John Weston-CPC

16 Conservatives
11 New Democrats
9 Liberals

30/36

Territories
Yukon: Larry Bagnell-LIB
Western Arctic: Dennis Bevington-NDP
Nunavut: Kirt Ejesiak-LIB

2 Liberals
1 New Democrat

2/3


Final Total

108 Conservatives
105 Liberals
52 Bloquistes
40 New Democrats
3 Independents

How My Predictions Stacked up

263/308

85%

What Happened to the Tories Well Oiled Machine?

Throughout the last couple of years we were hearing so much about how the Tories were supposedly running one of the strongest and most organized campaigns. Complete with a new state of the art war-room. Yet if anything is to be learned this week. It is that the Tories having a well-oiled machine is a myth. Let's just Recap what happened this week.

*The first and major gaffe of the week is Puffingate, which revolved around the funny little bird dropping a deuce on a photo of Stephanie Dion on a Tory Attack Site. Harper was forced to apologize because of this idiocy and as well his own campaign team had to scramble to replace it.

*The Tories appointed a candidate in the riding of Halifax and then two days later she was forced to resign because it was found she had a criminal record

*Tory Loose Cannon Cheryl Gallant ridiculously claims that the liberals will tax or ban firewood.

*Their Candidate in Madawaska-Restigouche, New Brunswick is getting sued over a failed business venture.

*After initally opposing Elizabeth May in the debates, Harper bowed to Public Pressure and Reversed himself.

*Conservative MP's Rona Ambrose and Royal Galipeau Fraudulently used an Ottawa Kids store to supposedly announce new Child Care Policy Details.\

*And most recently the Conservatives had to can their communications director after he implied that Criticism from a father of a soldier killed in Afghanistan was politically motivated.

If this is what we can expect of the Tories' Election Machine for the next couple of weeks. Well let's just say that Majority Government may not be in reach for them.